Expert analysis, predicted result, odds, and notable statistics for the Nantes vs Monaco match in round 30 of the 2022/23 French Ligue 1 tonight.
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Football prediction today Nantes vs Monaco (1/2:0): 2-2
For the second consecutive season, Nantes surprised experts with two contrasting performances: underwhelming in Ligue 1 and brilliant in the national cup. Last week, the "Canaries" continued to fly to the French Cup final by beating a strong Lyon side, after already winning the trophy last season.
However, in Ligue 1, Antoine Kombouare's squad has gone six games without a win (losing four). Nantes has been stuck in the bottom half of the table, but luckily the gap to the relegation zone is not yet dangerous (four points).
Back to the league after the ecstasy of the cup, Nantes must face a strong Monaco side. At the Beaujoire stadium, they have lost three of their last five league games, which is equivalent to the number of defeats in the previous 25 matches where Monaco had beaten them 4-1 in the reverse fixture this season. Even at home, Nantes has only beaten Monaco once in the last 10 encounters (losing six).
Scoring goals regularly is Nantes' weakness as they have been goalless in 11 Ligue 1 games this season. Fortunately for them, Monaco's defense is not too strong as they have conceded the most goals in the top 10 (40). In contrast, Clement's squad has the second strongest attack (61), only behind league leaders PSG (70).
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Thanks to their good front line, Monaco still has hopes to compete for the top three and continue to play in the prestigious Champions League next season. It is worth noting that Le Rocher has played better away than at home (31 points away vs 26 points at home). They have only lost one game in Ligue 1 2022/23 (4-3 to Lille). However, the fact that Monaco is only given a 1/2 handicap (which may decrease to 1/4 before kickoff) is not attractive. Besides the difference in points between the two sides, Nantes has just spent a lot of energy in the French Cup semi-final, while Monaco has had a week off to prepare for this game. Therefore, it is possible to believe that the home team will not lose this match.
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Analysis of the total goals odds Nantes vs Monaco (2 3/4)
Four out of six recent official matches between the two sides have ended with at least three goals. As mentioned, Monaco has a strong attack but a weaker defense, resulting in five out of their last seven Ligue 1 games having many goals. However, Nantes has only scored 25 goals this season, the lowest in Ligue 1. Therefore, the total goals line of 2 3/4 seems reasonable for this match.